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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A

Sports→Settlement: 100 ThievesLiquidity: $401.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $323.4KEvent: Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
100.0¢
100 Thieves payout
0.0¢
FUT Esports payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:100 Thieves · $15.4K net·9 wallets·$19.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY100 Thieves$23.0K@ 75¢·PS003

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 100 Thieves. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against FUT Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against 100 Thieves.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Winners match between 100 Thieves and FUT Esports in the VCT Champions Group A, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against 100 Thieves. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
yishiwucheng2 linked markets · $25.8K gross
TLking2 linked markets · $22.3K gross
bluemol2 linked markets · $21.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FUT Esports@ 30.0¢7d ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -17.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY 100 Thieves@ 75.0¢7d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 100 Thieves; negative values favor FUT Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h100 Thieves · $5.7K
6h100 Thieves · $31.9K
24h100 Thieves · $40.6K

100 Thieves price VWAP

Volume-weighted 100 Thieves price. FUT Esports fills are converted to the complementary 100 Thieves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.1¢▲ above by 18.9pp
VWAP 7d80.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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100 Thieves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$28.7K
90¢
$4.9K
85¢
$127
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$37.8K
70¢
$43.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFUT Esports$16.2K@ 28.0¢
tankfest20270x4d6e…5cfd
🐋—7 days ago
BUY100 Thieves$23.0K@ 75.0¢
PS0030xf4ec…c574
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PS003100 Thieves$23.0K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
tankfest2027FUT Esports$16.2K
BUY VWAP 28.0¢·1 fill
yishiwucheng100 Thieves$15.0K
BUY VWAP 93.6¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.