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Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Jack Kennedy

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $103.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $257.3KEvent: Columbus: Bryce Nakashima vs Jack Kennedy
100.0¢
Bryce Nakashima
0.1¢
Jack Kennedy
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets47Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:139 trades$97.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 14s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bryce Nakashima · $2.3K net·10 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBryce Nakashima$21.0K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Jack Kennedy pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.6K
6h
−$7.0K
tracked
$97.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: Bryce Nakashima · $2.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -23.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jack Kennedy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-05 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Bryce Nakashima and Jack Kennedy in the Columbus, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bryce Nakashima' if Bryce Nakashima advances against Jack Kennedy. This market will resolve to 'Jack Kennedy' if Jack Kennedy advances against Bryce Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Bryce Nakashima@ 76.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +24.1pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Bryce Nakashima2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Bryce Nakashima@ 31.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +67.7pp
Latest book event: Bryce Nakashima UP 9.5pp · near-book depth $25.1K → $65 · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bryce Nakashima; negative values favor Jack Kennedy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJack Kennedy · $1.6K
6hJack Kennedy · $7.0K
24hJack Kennedy · $7.0K

Bryce Nakashima price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bryce Nakashima price. Jack Kennedy fills are converted to the complementary Bryce Nakashima probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▲ above by 40.8pp
VWAP 7d59.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bryce Nakashima price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.5K
90¢
$2.8K
85¢
$644
80¢
$1.5K
75¢
$656
70¢
$4.7K
65¢
$33.2K
60¢
$369
55¢
$847
50¢
$2.1K
45¢
$922
40¢
$19.9K
35¢
$705
30¢
$6.9K
25¢
$21
20¢
$5
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBryce Nakashima$21.0K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—2 minutes ago
SELLBryce Nakashima$12.3K@ 68.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLBryce Nakashima$20.4K@ 69.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYBryce Nakashima$10.0K@ 41.4¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackBryce Nakashima$19.9K
BUY VWAP 41.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.