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Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena

Sports→Settlement: Alex BarrenaLiquidity: $563.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $230.1KEvent: Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Alex Barrena
0.0¢
Joaquin Aguilar payout
100.0¢
Alex Barrena payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:51 trades$101.7K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alex Barrena · $29.0K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$37.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLAlex Barrena$20.8K@ 88¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alex Barrena. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joaquin Aguilar and Alex Barrena in the Buenos Aires 2, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Alex Barrena. This market will resolve to 'Alex Barrena' if Alex Barrena advances against Joaquin Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Alex Barrena@ 95.0¢47m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Alex Barrena UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $31.5K → $366 · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Joaquin Aguilar; negative values favor Alex Barrena. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJoaquin Aguilar · $3.3K
6hAlex Barrena · $6.2K
24hAlex Barrena · $6.2K

Joaquin Aguilar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Joaquin Aguilar price. Alex Barrena fills are converted to the complementary Joaquin Aguilar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h17.0¢▼ below by 17.0pp
VWAP 7d17.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Joaquin Aguilar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$9.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.2K
30¢
$9.5K
25¢
$2.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$31.4K
5¢
$23.8K
0¢
← now
$18.9K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlex Barrena$11.4K@ 95.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLAlex Barrena$20.8K@ 88.5¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FlaznorpAlex Barrena$31.4K
BUY VWAP 86.1¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.