PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $108.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $336.6KEvent: Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
26.8¢
Jenson Brooksby
73.3¢
Nikoloz Basilashvili
0.5¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets68Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:209 trades$160.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikoloz Basilashvili · $24.5K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$31.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$16.3K@ 49¢·HectorHuang

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Nikoloz Basilashvili pressure: $14.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$14.4K
6h
−$67.4K
tracked
$160.3K

12 verified profitable wallets: Nikoloz Basilashvili · $24.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.5¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 62

Since latest large flow: +26.5pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 26.5pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Nikoloz Basilashvili or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Chengdu Open, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jenson Brooksby' if Jenson Brooksby advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Jenson Brooksby. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Nikoloz Basilashvili@ 47.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Nikoloz Basilashvili@ 48.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Nikoloz Basilashvili DOWN 4.7pp · near-book depth $32.5K → $23.5K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jenson Brooksby; negative values favor Nikoloz Basilashvili. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNikoloz Basilashvili · $14.4K
6hNikoloz Basilashvili · $67.4K
24hNikoloz Basilashvili · $74.8K

Jenson Brooksby price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jenson Brooksby price. Nikoloz Basilashvili fills are converted to the complementary Jenson Brooksby probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.8¢
VWAP 24h40.7¢▼ below by 13.9pp
VWAP 7d40.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Jenson Brooksby price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$88.0K
45¢
$2.0K
40¢
$4.5K
35¢
$4.5K
30¢
$27.1K
25¢
← now
$1.2K
20¢
$2.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.8K
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
$16.3K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$11.5K@ 97.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—13 minutes ago
BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$16.0K@ 65.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$16.3K@ 48.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNikoloz Basilashvili$15.9K@ 47.2¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Panthers vs. Browns
54.5¢$410.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$305.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$296.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$275.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HectorHuangNikoloz Basilashvili$38.7K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·3 fills
kkookkooNikoloz Basilashvili$22.9K
BUY VWAP 58.2¢·2 fills
askilikaNikoloz Basilashvili$16.0K
BUY VWAP 47.5¢·2 fills
FlaznorpNikoloz Basilashvili$15.0K
BUY VWAP 93.1¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.