Spread: Eagles (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $417.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $66.7KEvent: Eagles vs. Bears
58.5¢
Eagles
41.5¢
Bears
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100direction8wallets44execution93priority0data 76%💡 3 smart
24h sample:15 trades$29.0K trackedsource coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eagles · $21.1K net·3 wallets·$32.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEagles$7.9K@ 60¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Bears pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.2K
6h
−$740
tracked
$29.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: Eagles · $21.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bears or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-29 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bears".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Bears, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if the Eagles win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bears". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Tiger2002 linked markets · $490.6K gross
HomeRunHazard9 linked markets · $225.3K gross
primm3 linked markets · $174.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Lifecycleresolving

Signed Order Flow

1hBears · $2.2K
6hBears · $740
24hEagles · $11.1K

Eagles price VWAP

Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h59.9¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d59.5¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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Eagles price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$22.6K
55¢
← now
$18.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Spread: Eagles (-5.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HomeRunHazardEagles$20.3K
BUY VWAP 59.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.