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Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic

Sports→Settlement: Mia RisticLiquidity: $650.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $245.6KEvent: Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic
0.0¢
Noemi Basiletti payout
100.0¢
Mia Ristic payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:138 trades$56.8K trackedsource coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 61 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mia Ristic · $3.1K net·8 wallets·$8.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNoemi Basiletti$9.5K@ 31¢·Antblack

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mia Ristic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-30 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Basiletti and Mia Ristic in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Mia Ristic. This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Noemi Basiletti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Noemi Basiletti@ 41.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -10.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp
Latest book event: Mia Ristic UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $6.2K → $5.4K · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Noemi Basiletti; negative values favor Mia Ristic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMia Ristic · $6.1K
6hNoemi Basiletti · $16.1K
24hNoemi Basiletti · $16.1K

Noemi Basiletti price VWAP

Volume-weighted Noemi Basiletti price. Mia Ristic fills are converted to the complementary Noemi Basiletti probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h31.5¢▼ below by 31.5pp
VWAP 7d31.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Noemi Basiletti price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$265
75¢
$86
70¢
$4
65¢
$121
60¢
$2.5K
55¢
$0
50¢
$7
45¢
$2.9K
40¢
$2.5K
35¢
$17.5K
30¢
$17.0K
25¢
$435
20¢
$5.0K
15¢
$24
10¢
$98
5¢
$4.1K
0¢
← now
$4.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

AntblackNoemi Basiletti$19.5K
BUY VWAP 33.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.