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Auburn vs. Tennessee

Sports→Settlement: TennesseeLiquidity: $357.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $521.9KEvent: Auburn vs. Tennessee
0.0¢
Auburn payout
100.0¢
Tennessee payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Auburn · $33.5K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$59.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAuburn$22.4K@ 31¢·primm

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tennessee. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Tennessee, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game. This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm2 linked markets · $56.8K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $24.0K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $16.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tennessee@ 68.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Auburn@ 33.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Auburn@ 33.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Auburn; negative values favor Tennessee. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTennessee · $24.8K
6hAuburn · $10.3K
24hAuburn · $14.1K

Auburn price VWAP

Volume-weighted Auburn price. Tennessee fills are converted to the complementary Auburn probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.9¢▼ below by 27.9pp
VWAP 7d27.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Auburn price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$26.4K
45¢
$5.9K
40¢
$40
35¢
$270
30¢
$85.1K
25¢
$5.1K
20¢
$169
15¢
$2
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
← now
$32.1K

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTennessee$14.8K@ 99.9¢
omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTennessee$13.5K@ 68.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYAuburn$14.3K@ 32.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYAuburn$22.4K@ 31.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

primmAuburn$25.2K
BUY VWAP 31.1¢·2 fills
quavooTennessee$17.5K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·12 fills
texaskidAuburn$16.3K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·2 fills
iDARKenjoyerAuburn$15.6K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·3 fills
omoi0i0Tennessee$14.8K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardTennessee$10.7K
BUY VWAP 68.3¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.