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Central Arkansas vs. Florida State

Sports→American FootballSettlement: Florida StateLiquidity: $119.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $96.2KEvent: Central Arkansas vs. Florida State
0.0¢
Central Arkansas payout
100.0¢
Florida State payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlorida State$22.0K@ 100¢·033033033

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Florida State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-26 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central Arkansas win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Central Arkansas and Florida State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Arkansas" if Central Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Central Arkansas; negative values favor Florida State. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCentral Arkansas · $0
6hFlorida State · $67.2K
24hFlorida State · $67.2K

Central Arkansas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Central Arkansas price. Florida State fills are converted to the complementary Central Arkansas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h0.1¢▼ below by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d0.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Central Arkansas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$67.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlorida State$22.0K@ 99.9¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—12 days ago
BUYFlorida State$22.0K@ 99.9¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—12 days ago
BUYFlorida State$10.4K@ 99.8¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.