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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: San Diego PadresLiquidity: $264.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $312.0KEvent: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
0.0¢
Arizona Diamondbacks payout
100.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:157 trades$177.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $11.2K net·13 wallets·$42.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLSan Diego Padres$18.6K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome San Diego Padres. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 26 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Talvez102 linked markets · $34.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $12.6K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $1.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 46.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 3.8pp · near-book depth $7.5K → $85 · 47s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $6.1K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $23.3K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $22.1K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.8¢▼ below by 27.8pp
VWAP 7d27.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$270
50¢
$3.3K
45¢
$84.3K
40¢
$11.3K
35¢
$1.7K
30¢
$3.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$201
10¢
$2.7K
5¢
$6.3K
0¢
← now
$61.8K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSan Diego Padres$18.6K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.0K@ 59.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiArizona Diamondbacks$37.8K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·23 fills
0x20f4…15e1San Diego Padres$15.9K
BUY VWAP 95.2¢·4 fills
kkookkooSan Diego Padres$11.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.