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Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Sports→Settlement: Cincinnati RedsLiquidity: $174.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $156.8KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays
100.0¢
Cincinnati Reds payout
0.0¢
Toronto Blue Jays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:39 trades$47.3K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 30 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cincinnati Reds · $4.1K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYToronto Blue Jays$10.9K@ 47¢·Velin217

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cincinnati Reds. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 19:07 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for September 26 at 3:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Cincinnati Reds UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $38.7K → $13.0K · 88s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Toronto Blue Jays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCincinnati Reds · $10.6K
6hCincinnati Reds · $2.7K
24hCincinnati Reds · $2.7K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Toronto Blue Jays fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.8¢▲ above by 31.2pp
VWAP 7d68.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.6K
90¢
$1.6K
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.5K
75¢
$2.6K
70¢
$1.7K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$13.3K
45¢
$8.5K
40¢
$2.0K
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYToronto Blue Jays$10.9K@ 47.0¢
Velin2170x9a5e…cd58
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Velin217Toronto Blue Jays$10.9K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.