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Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin

Sports→Settlement: Pavel LagutinLiquidity: $115.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $91.7KEvent: Plovdiv 4: Pavel Lagutin vs Svyatoslav Gulin
100.0¢
Pavel Lagutin payout
0.0¢
Svyatoslav Gulin payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPavel Lagutin$14.0K@ 100¢·tenniz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pavel Lagutin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-28 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pavel Lagutin; negative values favor Svyatoslav Gulin. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPavel Lagutin · $0
6hPavel Lagutin · $0
24hPavel Lagutin · $8.7K

Pavel Lagutin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pavel Lagutin price. Svyatoslav Gulin fills are converted to the complementary Pavel Lagutin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h93.4¢▲ above by 6.6pp
VWAP 7d93.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pavel Lagutin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$45.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$29
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$1.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPavel Lagutin$14.0K@ 99.9¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—9 days ago
BUYPavel Lagutin$13.8K@ 99.0¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—10 days ago
BUYPavel Lagutin$13.2K@ 98.0¢0x004c…bb89🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.