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Stars vs. Avalanche

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $316.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $157.9KEvent: Stars vs. Avalanche
41.5¢
Stars
58.5¢
Avalanche
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection41Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority80Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 91%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$102.0K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 65%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Stars · $36.4K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$36.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYStars$32.8K@ 42¢·mooseborzoii

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Avalanche SETUP
What the tape says

Avalanche pressure: $41.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$41.4K
6h
−$41.4K
tracked
$102.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: Stars · $36.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 91% · priority 80

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Avalanche or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-15 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars".

•If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:30PM ET: If the Stars win, the market will resolve to "Stars". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3003…30f52 linked markets · $66 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Avalanche@ 59.0¢1m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Stars@ 45.0¢9h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Stars; negative values favor Avalanche. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAvalanche · $41.4K
6hAvalanche · $41.4K
24hAvalanche · $12.7K

Stars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Stars price. Avalanche fills are converted to the complementary Stars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h42.6¢▼ below by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d42.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Stars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$8.8K
40¢
← now
$102.0K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAvalanche$11.4K@ 57.0¢
chubbytoro0xe4a5…3cad
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYAvalanche$11.4K@ 57.0¢
chubbytoro0xe4a5…3cad
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYAvalanche$11.4K@ 57.0¢
chubbytoro0xe4a5…3cad
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYStars$32.8K@ 42.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
55.5¢$12.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
44.5¢$8.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
38.5¢$826.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B
0.0¢$657.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
76.5¢$612.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

chubbytoroAvalanche$45.3K
BUY VWAP 56.8¢·6 fills
mooseborzoiiStars$32.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.