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Capitals vs. Hurricanes

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 33 minutesLiquidity: $402.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $85.3KEvent: Capitals vs. Hurricanes
40.5¢
Capitals
59.5¢
Hurricanes
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection39Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 79%
24h sample:22 trades$40.4K trackedsource coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 41s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHurricanes$8.8K@ 59¢·PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Hurricanes pressure: $15.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$15.6K
6h
−$16.3K
tracked
$40.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 79% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Hurricanes or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 22:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals".

•If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 6:45PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Capitals; negative values favor Hurricanes. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHurricanes · $15.6K
6hHurricanes · $16.3K
24hHurricanes · $20.8K

Capitals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Capitals price. Hurricanes fills are converted to the complementary Capitals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h40.7¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d40.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Capitals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$47.0K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANHurricanes$10.2K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.