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Colts vs. Vikings

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $34.2KEvent: Colts vs. Vikings

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

26.5¢
Colts
73.5¢
Vikings
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%
24h sample:6 trades$23.4K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 118 min agoofficial metadata 13 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYVikings$19.9K@ 73¢·chubbytoro

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$23.4K
tracked
$23.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 118 minutes old.
  • •Less than 8h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Colts" if Colts win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Vikings" if Vikings win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Colts and Vikings, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colts" if Colts win the game. This market will resolve to "Vikings" if Vikings win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
chubbytoro2 linked markets · $87.1K gross
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Vikings@ 74.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Colts; negative values favor Vikings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColts · $0
6hVikings · $23.4K
24hVikings · $23.4K

Colts price VWAP

Volume-weighted Colts price. Vikings fills are converted to the complementary Colts probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current26.5¢
VWAP 24h27.15¢▼ below by 0.7pp
VWAP 7d27.15¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Colts price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$23.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYVikings$19.9K@ 73.0¢
chubbytoro0xe4a5…3cad
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Vikings (-6.5)
51.5¢$222.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-14.5)
24.5¢$52.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-17.5)
16.5¢$18.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Vikings (-7.5)
45.5¢$16.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 42.5
46.5¢$413priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colts vs. Vikings: O/U 26.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-21.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Colts (-8.5)
8.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

chubbytoroVikings$19.9K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.