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Bengals vs. Ravens

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $768.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $326.1KEvent: Bengals vs. Ravens

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

58.5¢
Bengals
41.5¢
Ravens
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$153.0K tracked19% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 115 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bengals · $42.1K net·9 wallets(3🐋)·$88.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBengals$25.3K@ 54¢·bwgringo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$13.4K
tracked
$153.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Bengals · $42.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 115 minutes old.
  • •Less than 9h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bengals" if Bengals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bengals and Ravens, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bengals" if Bengals win the game. This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo8 linked markets · $64.3K gross
maz264 linked markets · $60.3K gross
ic4cream4 linked markets · $54.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 58.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 58.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
PROVEN EARLY MOVERBUY Bengals@ 57.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bengals@ 54.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h CONFIRMED +4.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bengals; negative values favor Ravens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBengals · $0
6hBengals · $13.4K
24hBengals · $101.0K

Bengals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bengals price. Ravens fills are converted to the complementary Bengals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h55.79¢▲ above by 2.7pp
VWAP 7d53.57¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bengals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$110.1K
50¢
$57.5K
45¢
$40.0K
40¢
$4.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBengals$14.0K@ 59.0¢
ogwieny0x0416…9b31
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRavens$13.7K@ 41.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYBengals$17.3K@ 56.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBengals$21.1K@ 55.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBengals$25.3K@ 54.0¢
bwgringo0x54ce…9f80
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBengals$17.6K@ 53.0¢
bwgringo0x54ce…9f80
🐋—about 14 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
29.5¢$174.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5
48.5¢$94.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
56.5¢$82.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
53.5¢$70.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
44.5¢$48.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 48.5
41.5¢$30.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Ravens (-1.5)
38.5¢$17.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bengals vs. Ravens: O/U 50.5
36.5¢$9.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bwgringoBengals$43.0K
BUY VWAP 53.58¢·2 fills
ic4creamBengals$25.6K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
iDARKenjoyerBengals$21.1K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
ogwienyBengals$14.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiiRavens$13.7K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·1 fill
quavooBengals$13.4K
BUY VWAP 56.81¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.