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Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?

Tech→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $127.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $291.7KEvent: OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:67 trades$71.1K trackedsource coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 84 min agoofficial metadata 30 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$9.1K@ 73¢·ScottyNooo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-01 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resumes new subscriptions to the ChatGPT Pro 20x plan for US customers by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

On September 10, 2026, OpenAI paused new subscriptions and upgrades to the ChatGPT Pro 20x plan. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI resumes new subscriptions to the ChatGPT Pro 20x plan for US customers by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Subscriptions will be considered resumed when that plan is again generally available for purchase by new subscribers in the United States through the company's official channels. The availability of any other plan, including the ChatGPT Pro or Pro 5x plans, will not qualify. Resumption of upgrades for existing ChatGPT subscribers without new sign-ups will not qualify. A qualifying plan must be the called "Pro 20x" or otherwise confirmed to be the same plan as the ChatGPT Pro 20x Plan by a consensus of credible reporting. Private access limited to selected users or groups of users, a waitlist, or an invitation will not qualify. A change to the plan's name or price will not affect resolution, provided it remains OpenAI's highest-usage ChatGPT Pro tier. Unavailability in particular states resulting from legal or regulatory requirements will not prevent a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be OpenAI's official purchasing channels; however, official communications from the company's representatives or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY NO@ 70.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 41.5pp · near-book depth $14 → $28 · 31s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $1.2K
6hNO · $42.2K
24hNO · $50.5K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.1¢▲ above by 47.9pp
VWAP 7d52.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$26.4K
90¢
$33
85¢
$1
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.4K
25¢
$22.5K
20¢
$7.5K
15¢
$11.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ScottyNoooNo$36.2K
BUY VWAP 76.3¢·10 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.