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Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: LuminosityLiquidity: $51.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $269.9KEvent: Counter-Strike: M80 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs
0.0¢
M80 payout
100.0¢
Luminosity payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLuminosity$14.8K@ 49¢·skyman44

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Luminosity. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Luminosity.

•This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against M80.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket final match between M80 and Luminosity in the Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Luminosity. This market will resolve to "Luminosity" if Luminosity win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Luminosity@ 50.0¢14d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h INVALIDATED -24.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor M80; negative values favor Luminosity. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hM80 · $2.0K
6hM80 · $27.7K
24hLuminosity · $20.5K

M80 price VWAP

Volume-weighted M80 price. Luminosity fills are converted to the complementary M80 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.1¢▼ below by 48.1pp
VWAP 7d48.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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M80 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$435
70¢
$9
65¢
$125
60¢
$135
55¢
$300
50¢
$98.8K
45¢
$87
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1
25¢
$298
20¢
$513
15¢
$0
10¢
$218
5¢
$187
0¢
← now
$4.4K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYM80$13.1K@ 51.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—14 days ago
BUYLuminosity$12.4K@ 50.0¢0x29b5…cc6c🐋—14 days ago
BUYLuminosity$14.8K@ 49.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—14 days ago
BUYLuminosity$12.9K@ 49.9¢0x29b5…cc6c🐋—14 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.