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T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka

● quote 57s ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $58.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $285.3KEvent: T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka
99.9¢
India
0.1¢
Sri Lanka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:53 trades$150.6K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 55 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIndia$20.4K@ 97¢·norrisfan

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$38
6h
−$38
tracked
$150.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: India · $26 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 55 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-20 10:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between India and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 13 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in T20 Asia Cup, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY India@ 96.0¢12h ago
15m STALLED +2.1pp1h STALLED -0.4pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY India@ 85.0¢18h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +13.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor India; negative values favor Sri Lanka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSri Lanka · $38
6hSri Lanka · $38
24hIndia · $115.9K

India price VWAP

Volume-weighted India price. Sri Lanka fills are converted to the complementary India probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h92.5¢▲ above by 7.4pp
VWAP 7d92.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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India price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$91.3K
90¢
$2.1K
85¢
$33.4K
80¢
$25.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIndia$12.8K@ 99.0¢
norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYIndia$20.4K@ 97.1¢
norrisfan0xe72b…b0a0
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYIndia$19.4K@ 97.1¢
dpk-5010x519b…624e
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYIndia$18.7K@ 96.0¢
midwicket720xa4b7…6008
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYIndia$10.0K@ 86.0¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYIndia$10.0K@ 85.3¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

blketIndia$35.0K
BUY VWAP 85.3¢·5 fills
norrisfanIndia$33.2K
BUY VWAP 97.8¢·2 fills
dpk-501India$29.2K
BUY VWAP 97.4¢·2 fills
midwicket72India$25.4K
BUY VWAP 95.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.