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Tulln: Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide

Sports→Settlement: Mika BrunoldLiquidity: $143.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $375.5KEvent: Tulln: Mika Brunold vs Gustavo Heide
100.0¢
Mika Brunold payout
0.0¢
Gustavo Heide payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:93 trades$115.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 80 min agoofficial metadata 35 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gustavo Heide · $42.7K net·12 wallets(2🐋)·$71.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGustavo Heide$10.6K@ 73¢·Flaznorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mika Brunold. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-18 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mika Brunold and Gustavo Heide in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mika Brunold' if Mika Brunold advances against Gustavo Heide. This market will resolve to 'Gustavo Heide' if Gustavo Heide advances against Mika Brunold. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Gustavo Heide@ 47.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Gustavo Heide2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Gustavo Heide@ 49.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Mika Brunold UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $50.7K → $250 · 57s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mika Brunold; negative values favor Gustavo Heide. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMika Brunold · $6.5K
6hGustavo Heide · $68.0K
24hGustavo Heide · $68.0K

Mika Brunold price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mika Brunold price. Gustavo Heide fills are converted to the complementary Mika Brunold probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.9¢▲ above by 47.1pp
VWAP 7d52.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mika Brunold price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$75
90¢
$23.5K
85¢
$9.0K
80¢
$1.1K
75¢
$0
70¢
$358
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$2.0K
55¢
$1
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$30.3K
40¢
$2.6K
35¢
$241
30¢
$794
25¢
$40.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGustavo Heide$10.0K@ 54.5¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGustavo Heide$10.0K@ 53.6¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGustavo Heide$10.3K@ 50.1¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGustavo Heide$10.6K@ 73.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Gustavo Heide$20.0K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·2 fills
FlaznorpGustavo Heide$15.5K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·2 fills
0xc323…0077Gustavo Heide$13.1K
BUY VWAP 11.9¢·7 fills
FlaznorpMika Brunold$11.5K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·6 fills
AntblackGustavo Heide$10.3K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.