PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $184.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $387.6KEvent: Cassis: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Moez Echargui
100.0¢
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
0.1¢
Moez Echargui
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets77Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$140.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Moez Echargui · $66.0K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$85.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 40¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Moez Echargui pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.0K
6h
−$84.9K
tracked
$140.5K

5 verified profitable wallets: Moez Echargui · $66.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -92.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Moez Echargui or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Moez Echargui in the Cassis, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Moez Echargui. This market will resolve to 'Moez Echargui' if Moez Echargui advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Moez Echargui@ 93.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -55.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Moez Echargui1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $983 → $17.3K · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nicolai Budkov Kjaer; negative values favor Moez Echargui. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMoez Echargui · $22.0K
6hMoez Echargui · $84.9K
24hMoez Echargui · $84.9K

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price. Moez Echargui fills are converted to the complementary Nicolai Budkov Kjaer probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.2¢▲ above by 44.8pp
VWAP 7d55.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.1K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$259
80¢
$4.6K
75¢
$0
70¢
$110
65¢
$3.0K
60¢
$24.5K
55¢
$13.5K
50¢
$65
45¢
$3.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$15.5K
30¢
$28.1K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$11
15¢
$0
10¢
$4.0K
5¢
$10.7K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 67.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMoez Echargui$10.0K@ 40.4¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?
47.5¢$653.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
80.5¢$526.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
56.0¢$469.9Kpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$432.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier Playoffs
0.1¢$359.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$307.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Moez Echargui$55.7K
BUY VWAP 48.3¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.