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San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $189.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $418.6KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
85.5¢
San Diego Padres
14.5¢
Colorado Rockies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets57Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$222.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $66.2K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$115.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$26.1K@ 66¢·0x1610…ae49

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

San Diego Padres pressure: $13.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$13.5K
6h
+$116.3K
tracked
$222.3K

14 verified profitable wallets: San Diego Padres · $66.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 57

Since latest large flow: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 13.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from San Diego Padres or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-22 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 14 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $42.4K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $12.9K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $10.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 73.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 67.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 66.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: Colorado Rockies DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $2 → $143 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Diego Padres; negative values favor Colorado Rockies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $13.5K
6hSan Diego Padres · $116.3K
24hSan Diego Padres · $153.1K

San Diego Padres price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Diego Padres price. Colorado Rockies fills are converted to the complementary San Diego Padres probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current85.5¢
VWAP 24h73.7¢▲ above by 11.8pp
VWAP 7d73.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Diego Padres price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.9K
90¢
$8.0K
85¢
← now
$37.8K
80¢
$22.8K
75¢
$10.4K
70¢
$11.0K
65¢
$120.1K
60¢
$11.5K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$17.5K@ 89.8¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$10.6K@ 65.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$10.0K@ 68.0¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$26.1K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavooSan Diego Padres$41.2K
BUY VWAP 65.9¢·11 fills
0x1610…ae49San Diego Padres$26.1K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafSan Diego Padres$17.9K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·2 fills
0xc1a9…e2dbSan Diego Padres$17.5K
BUY VWAP 89.8¢·2 fills
RunemupSan Diego Padres$10.0K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.