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US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $263.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $857.4KEvent: US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
35.5¢
Qinwen Zheng
64.5¢
Elena Rybakina
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection14Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:218 trades$365.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Qinwen Zheng · $14.2K net·17 wallets·$50.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYElena Rybakina$29.1K@ 47¢·xabidaking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Elena Rybakina pressure: $52.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$52.5K
6h
−$99.2K
tracked
$365.1K

17 verified profitable wallets: Qinwen Zheng · $14.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 53

Since latest large flow: -9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Elena Rybakina or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Qinwen Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 74.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Elena Rybakina@ 74.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Qinwen Zheng UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $61.3K → $4.6K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Qinwen Zheng; negative values favor Elena Rybakina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hElena Rybakina · $52.5K
6hElena Rybakina · $99.2K
24hElena Rybakina · $98.6K

Qinwen Zheng price VWAP

Volume-weighted Qinwen Zheng price. Elena Rybakina fills are converted to the complementary Qinwen Zheng probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current35.5¢
VWAP 24h38.8¢▼ below by 3.3pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Qinwen Zheng price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$21.2K
50¢
$98.1K
45¢
$36.5K
40¢
$17.4K
35¢
← now
$7.2K
30¢
$23.7K
25¢
$162.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLQinwen Zheng$12.3K@ 47.4¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYQinwen Zheng$10.0K@ 54.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—19 minutes ago
BUYElena Rybakina$29.1K@ 47.2¢
xabidaking0x3f98…0aa1
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYElena Rybakina$10.0K@ 50.0¢0x760f…326a🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYElena Rybakina$12.8K@ 75.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYElena Rybakina$24.0K@ 74.0¢0x197c…e025🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYElena Rybakina$20.0K@ 74.0¢
tony19190x733b…7260
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xabidakingElena Rybakina$29.1K
BUY VWAP 47.2¢·1 fill
0x197c…e025Elena Rybakina$24.0K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
tony1919Elena Rybakina$20.0K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
0xwiseQinwen Zheng$17.0K
BUY VWAP 27.5¢·2 fills
0xa0f2…1848Qinwen Zheng$15.4K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·14 fills
jaytee158Elena Rybakina$12.8K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
HectorHuangQinwen Zheng$10.0K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·1 fill
0x760f…326aElena Rybakina$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.