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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $184.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $225.1KEvent: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng
79.5¢
Iga Swiatek
20.5¢
Qinwen Zheng
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$104.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $17.6K net·4 wallets·$17.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIga Swiatek$19.5K@ 78¢·rabby10

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Qinwen Zheng SETUP
What the tape says

Qinwen Zheng pressure: $7.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$7.5K
6h
+$59.4K
tracked
$104.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: Iga Swiatek · $17.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 68

Since latest large flow: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Qinwen Zheng or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-13 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Qinwen Zheng in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Qinwen Zheng. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 78.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 78.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Qinwen Zheng. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hQinwen Zheng · $7.5K
6hIga Swiatek · $59.4K
24hIga Swiatek · $64.2K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Qinwen Zheng fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h78.5¢▲ above by 1.0pp
VWAP 7d78.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$13.5K
75¢
← now
$93.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIga Swiatek$19.5K@ 78.0¢
rabby100x8488…588c
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

rabby10Iga Swiatek$19.5K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill
RollAwayTheDewIga Swiatek$16.0K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·4 fills
0705Iga Swiatek$15.3K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·2 fills
0xwiseQinwen Zheng$10.5K
BUY VWAP 21.6¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.