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Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $2.9MOfficial 24h Vol: $5.7MEvent: Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1613 trades$6.6M tracked1% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 908 min agoofficial metadata 896 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $167.2K net·32 wallets(2🐋)·$429.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLYES$3.3M@ 100¢·halvanicus

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-17 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
Outcome meaning

•If Real Betis Balompié wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026 If Real Betis Balompié wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $325.1K gross
Flaznorp3 linked markets · $105.8K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $85.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY YES17h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 65.0¢17h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY YES@ 66.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 66.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -7.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $13.7K → $387 · 10s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $3.3M
6hNO · $929.3K
24hNO · $824.8K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.5¢▲ above by 16.5pp
VWAP 7d83.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.4M
90¢
$31.4K
85¢
$79.8K
80¢
$108.6K
75¢
$2.4K
70¢
$16.7K
65¢
$1.9M
60¢
$975.2K
55¢
$92.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLYES$3.3M@ 99.9¢
halvanicus0x63cf…e4d0
🐋—about 15 hours ago
SELLYES$12.2K@ 99.9¢
BBQChickenisthebesttt0x1660…5598
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYYES$50.0K@ 85.1¢
kindar0x369f…873e
🐋—about 16 hours ago
SELLYES$49.4K@ 83.0¢
Champions260xf91e…4f48
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYYES$11.0K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYYES$10.2K@ 66.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYYES$24.3K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYYES$15.5K@ 66.0¢
DeadliestCatch0x0ced…62cb
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$19.5K@ 66.0¢
Champions260xf91e…4f48
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$19.8K@ 66.0¢
Champions260xf91e…4f48
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$159.3K@ 65.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYNO$41.4K@ 36.0¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYNO$38.5K@ 34.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYNO$12.1K@ 34.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$148.1K@ 64.0¢
halvanicus0x63cf…e4d0
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$701.8K@ 66.0¢
halvanicus0x63cf…e4d0
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$415.2K@ 64.0¢
halvanicus0x63cf…e4d0
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$680.0K@ 65.0¢
halvanicus0x63cf…e4d0
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYYES$128.0K@ 64.0¢
kindar0x369f…873e
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYYES$35.9K@ 63.0¢
kindar0x369f…873e
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYYES$23.7K@ 59.9¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYYES$10.8K@ 59.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—1 day ago
BUYYES$19.3K@ 59.0¢
mariabelo0x64f2…2ddd
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

halvanicusYes$1.9M
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·5 fills
0x2c33…0563Yes$236.6K
BUY VWAP 65.4¢·14 fills
kindarYes$213.9K
BUY VWAP 67.7¢·3 fills
mooseborzoiYes$80.2K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·185 fills
FlaznorpNo$58.8K
BUY VWAP 34.4¢·31 fills
UpTheBluesNo$46.9K
BUY VWAP 35.2¢·42 fills
jtwyslljyNo$43.2K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·2 fills
Champions26Yes$39.3K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·2 fills
GoalLineGhostYes$37.8K
BUY VWAP 72.7¢·16 fills
0xf559…f462Yes$30.0K
BUY VWAP 59.7¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.