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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox

Sports→Settlement: Pittsburgh PiratesLiquidity: $250.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $394.6KEvent: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox
100.0¢
Pittsburgh Pirates payout
0.0¢
Chicago White Sox payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago White Sox · $7.7K net·10 wallets·$11.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox$36.6K@ 56¢·0x17c4…2471

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pittsburgh Pirates. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-16 23:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for September 9 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
MAGATheeStallion2 linked markets · $4.0K gross
Flaznorp2 linked markets · $1.4K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $122 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Pittsburgh Pirates@ 97.0¢2d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Chicago White Sox2d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Chicago White Sox@ 60.0¢2d ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago White Sox@ 55.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pittsburgh Pirates; negative values favor Chicago White Sox. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPittsburgh Pirates · $37.3K
6hChicago White Sox · $63.9K
24hChicago White Sox · $46.7K

Pittsburgh Pirates price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pittsburgh Pirates price. Chicago White Sox fills are converted to the complementary Pittsburgh Pirates probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h56.4¢▲ above by 43.6pp
VWAP 7d56.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Pittsburgh Pirates price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$19
90¢
$37.7K
85¢
$4.3K
80¢
$423
75¢
$0
70¢
$890
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$6.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$68.3K
40¢
$61.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 92.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—2 days ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$12.9K@ 92.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—2 days ago
BUYChicago White Sox$36.6K@ 55.7¢0x17c4…2471🐋—2 days ago
BUYChicago White Sox$33.5K@ 55.0¢0x17c4…2471🐋—2 days ago
BUYPittsburgh Pirates$13.6K@ 45.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x17c4…2471Chicago White Sox$70.2K
BUY VWAP 55.4¢·2 fills
sifonmanPittsburgh Pirates$18.0K
BUY VWAP 91.7¢·2 fills
kkookkooChicago White Sox$15.5K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·2 fills
0x3dfb…abafPittsburgh Pirates$13.6K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·1 fill
edge7777Pittsburgh Pirates$12.9K
BUY VWAP 92.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.