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Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: San Diego PadresLiquidity: $382.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $341.1KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
0.0¢
Washington Nationals payout
100.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Diego Padres · $69.7K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$73.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Diego Padres$36.0K@ 81¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome San Diego Padres. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-14 21:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 7 at 5:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
GooldzX2 linked markets · $6.4K gross
DriftCapital2 linked markets · $1.6K gross
torta.tech2 linked markets · $1.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY San Diego Padres@ 80.0¢4d ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 90.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 90.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY San Diego Padres4d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Diego Padres · $20.3K
6hSan Diego Padres · $136.2K
24hSan Diego Padres · $135.0K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h21.8¢▼ below by 21.8pp
VWAP 7d21.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$49.0K
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$2.6K
20¢
$37.3K
15¢
$41.6K
10¢
$24.0K
5¢
$19.2K
0¢
← now
$318

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$15.1K@ 89.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—4 days ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$36.0K@ 81.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—4 days ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$34.4K@ 78.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—4 days ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$31.0K@ 65.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSan Diego Padres$67.0K
BUY VWAP 72.7¢·2 fills
0b1feSan Diego Padres$49.6K
BUY VWAP 81.1¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Diego Padres$18.0K
BUY VWAP 92.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.