PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Bills vs. Rams

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $3.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $176.5KEvent: Bills vs. Rams
38.5¢
Bills
61.5¢
Rams
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly59Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$69.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Rams · $15.8K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$15.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRams$20.4K@ 60¢·THEdirkdiggler

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Rams SETUP
What the tape says

Rams pressure: $1.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.6K
6h
−$39.6K
tracked
$69.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Rams · $15.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 61

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Rams or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-13 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game. This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20264 linked markets · $42.8K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $33.0K gross
quavoo11 linked markets · $19.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Rams@ 62.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bills@ 39.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bills; negative values favor Rams. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRams · $1.6K
6hRams · $39.6K
24hRams · $22.8K

Bills price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bills price. Rams fills are converted to the complementary Bills probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h38.3¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d38.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bills price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$20.4K
35¢
← now
$70.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRams$13.8K@ 62.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYRams$20.0K@ 62.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBills$19.5K@ 39.0¢
BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYRams$20.4K@ 60.0¢
THEdirkdiggler0x1e77…8c33
🐋—5 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Rams (-3.5)
47.5¢$1.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
26.5¢$169.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 54.5
51.5¢$105.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Rams (-2.5)
56.5¢$92.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Rams Team Total: O/U 20.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 52.5
56.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Bills vs. Rams: O/U 58.5
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

THEdirkdigglerRams$20.4K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
0xf559…f462Rams$20.0K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
BreakTheBankBills$19.5K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Rams$13.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.