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US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen

Sports→Settlement: Alex MichelsenLiquidity: $160.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $786.6KEvent: US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Alex Michelsen
0.0¢
Brandon Nakashima payout
100.0¢
Alex Michelsen payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex Michelsen$36.4K@ 54¢·3edmond.dantes

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Alex Michelsen. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-09 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Alex Michelsen in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Michelsen10d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Alex Michelsen10d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Alex Michelsen@ 53.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +46.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Alex Michelsen@ 53.0¢10d ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +46.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Brandon Nakashima; negative values favor Alex Michelsen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBrandon Nakashima · $6.6K
6hAlex Michelsen · $39.0K
24hAlex Michelsen · $23.2K

Brandon Nakashima price VWAP

Volume-weighted Brandon Nakashima price. Alex Michelsen fills are converted to the complementary Brandon Nakashima probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h44.0¢▼ below by 44.0pp
VWAP 7d44.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Brandon Nakashima price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$4.2K
75¢
$5.8K
70¢
$3.3K
65¢
$104.4K
60¢
$977
55¢
$173
50¢
$2.7K
45¢
$109.6K
40¢
$6.8K
35¢
$704
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$2.2K
20¢
$2.5K
15¢
$387
10¢
$296
5¢
$23.6K
0¢
← now
$51.9K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLAlex Michelsen$11.1K@ 92.0¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—10 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$15.0K@ 54.5¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—10 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$35.7K@ 54.6¢
3edmond.dantes0x983e…6748
🐋—10 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$36.4K@ 53.8¢
3edmond.dantes0x983e…6748
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$15.0K@ 69.9¢
ssj30x1a95…3a16
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$14.5K@ 69.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—10 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$14.6K@ 31.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—10 days ago
BUYBrandon Nakashima$19.6K@ 66.0¢
talento100xf255…dce1
🐋—10 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.