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Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins

Sports→Settlement: Miami MarlinsLiquidity: $258.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $404.8KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins
0.0¢
Chicago Cubs payout
100.0¢
Miami Marlins payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $363 net·6 wallets·$6.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiami Marlins$43.9K@ 44¢·Talvez10

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miami Marlins. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-13 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 6 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Miami Marlins5d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Miami Marlins5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 55.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Miami Marlins@ 46.0¢5d ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Miami Marlins. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiami Marlins · $1.8K
6hMiami Marlins · $15.6K
24hMiami Marlins · $31.8K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Miami Marlins fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.7¢▼ below by 49.7pp
VWAP 7d49.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$106.0K
50¢
$19.8K
45¢
$13.0K
40¢
$3.4K
35¢
$2
30¢
$18
25¢
$5.3K
20¢
$1.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$10
5¢
$3.1K
0¢
← now
$7.6K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$16.9K@ 56.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—5 days ago
BUYChicago Cubs$21.8K@ 56.0¢
Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMiami Marlins$43.9K@ 44.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMiami Marlins$16.2K@ 43.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Talvez10Miami Marlins$43.9K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
PwaddlerChicago Cubs$38.7K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
0x5e94…5ba1Miami Marlins$16.2K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.