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LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $417.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $453.8KEvent: LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
2.0¢
Team Vitality
99.9¢
G2 Esports
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:248 trades$170.6K trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Vitality · $7.9K net·23 wallets·$71.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports$9.3K@ 74¢·enpirugbrpti

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Vitality pressure: $10.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.7K
6h
+$2.4K
tracked
$170.6K

23 verified profitable wallets: Team Vitality · $7.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +21.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 38 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 21.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-05 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against G2 Esports.

•This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Team Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Vitality and G2 Esports in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win Game 1 against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 1 against Team Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $99.1K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $50.1K gross
GoodGuy262 linked markets · $36.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY G2 Esports2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY G2 Esports@ 79.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: G2 Esports DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $58 → $154 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor G2 Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $10.7K
6hTeam Vitality · $2.4K
24hTeam Vitality · $2.4K

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. G2 Esports fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h22.2¢▼ below by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d22.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$10
70¢
$2.7K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$3.6K
50¢
$8.8K
45¢
$5.7K
40¢
$10.7K
35¢
$25
30¢
$13.4K
25¢
$42.4K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$6.6K
10¢
$6.5K
5¢
$7.1K
0¢
← now
$55.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.