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Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $42.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $466.4KEvent: Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
0.5¢
Washington Nationals
99.5¢
Los Angeles Dodgers
0.6¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets78Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution84Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$226.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Angeles Dodgers · $45.9K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$58.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$39.2K@ 73¢·beeemw

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Los Angeles Dodgers pressure: $42.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$42.5K
6h
−$175.1K
tracked
$226.0K

9 verified profitable wallets: Los Angeles Dodgers · $45.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.6¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +30.8pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 30.8pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Los Angeles Dodgers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-12 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 4 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $47.9K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.8K gross
VibeDoter2 linked markets · $9.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Los Angeles Dodgers2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 69.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +23.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 71.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.0pp
Latest book event: Washington Nationals UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $7.7K → $10 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Washington Nationals; negative values favor Los Angeles Dodgers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLos Angeles Dodgers · $42.5K
6hLos Angeles Dodgers · $175.1K
24hLos Angeles Dodgers · $162.5K

Washington Nationals price VWAP

Volume-weighted Washington Nationals price. Los Angeles Dodgers fills are converted to the complementary Washington Nationals probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.5¢
VWAP 24h23.7¢▼ below by 23.2pp
VWAP 7d23.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Washington Nationals price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$4.2K
30¢
$1.7K
25¢
$167.0K
20¢
$5.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$17.2K
5¢
$26.6K
0¢
← now
$3.7K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$10.7K@ 74.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$39.2K@ 73.3¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers$12.4K@ 71.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

sifonmanLos Angeles Dodgers$39.8K
BUY VWAP 78.9¢·6 fills
beeemwLos Angeles Dodgers$39.7K
BUY VWAP 73.3¢·2 fills
ferrariChampions2026Los Angeles Dodgers$23.1K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·3 fills
edge7777Los Angeles Dodgers$19.0K
BUY VWAP 72.7¢·3 fills
0F62Los Angeles Dodgers$13.1K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.