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Jets vs. Bears: O/U 43.5

Sports→American FootballSettlement: UnderLiquidity: $110.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $105.6KEvent: Jets vs. Bears
0.0¢
Over payout
100.0¢
Under payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $729 net·3 wallets·$3.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$20.0K@ 50¢·bands1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Under. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-04 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Jets and Bears combine to score 44 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 44, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Jets and Bears combine to score 44 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 44, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Tiger2002 linked markets · $231.0K gross
maz262 linked markets · $81.5K gross
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $51.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hOver · $862
24hOver · $21.3K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.7¢▼ below by 48.7pp
VWAP 7d48.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$34.0K
45¢
$4.7K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$53
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$172

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$20.0K@ 50.0¢
bands10xa080…234f
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

bands1Over$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.