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Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs. Javier Barranco Cosano: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Sports→Settlement: Over 2.5Liquidity: $38.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.6KEvent: ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano
100.0¢
Over 2.5 payout
0.0¢
Under 2.5 payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:31 trades$48.1K trackedsource coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 865 min agoofficial metadata 634 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver 2.5$7.8K@ 94¢·novason1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Over 2.5. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-01 11:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Javier Barranco Cosano in the ITF M25 Oviedo Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
pelik4 linked markets · $117.7K gross
CoinTrick3 linked markets · $51.8K gross
novason14 linked markets · $44.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Under 2.5 DOWN 4.2pp · near-book depth $670 → $380 · 58s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over 2.5; negative values favor Under 2.5. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver 2.5 · $0
6hOver 2.5 · $16.5K
24hOver 2.5 · $18.1K

Over 2.5 price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over 2.5 price. Under 2.5 fills are converted to the complementary Over 2.5 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h84.0¢▲ above by 16.0pp
VWAP 7d84.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over 2.5 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$12.6K
90¢
$9.7K
85¢
$1.0K
80¢
$3.4K
75¢
$13.1K
70¢
$3.5K
65¢
$0
60¢
$4.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.