PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: Shopify RebellionLiquidity: $192.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $67.3KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
0.0¢
Team Liquid payout
100.0¢
Shopify Rebellion payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$20.7K@ 68¢·bloodmaster

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Shopify Rebellion. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-30 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid wins 2 or more games than Shopify Rebellion in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 29, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor Shopify Rebellion. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $1.2K
6hTeam Liquid · $26.5K
24hTeam Liquid · $26.9K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. Shopify Rebellion fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h59.9¢▼ below by 59.9pp
VWAP 7d60.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$73
65¢
$29.8K
60¢
$203
55¢
$0
50¢
$3
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$85
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$3.8K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam Liquid$20.7K@ 68.0¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—20 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?
93.5¢$1.0Mpriority68Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$942.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
42.5¢$889.6Kpriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
0.1¢$680.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
14.5¢$497.2Kpriority59Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
37.5¢$477.1Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
55.5¢$464.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$428.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.