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US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $225.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $267.6KEvent: US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
0.1¢
Raul Brancaccio
100.0¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection48Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:59 trades$163.2K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raul Brancaccio · $1.1K net·6 wallets·$6.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$30.1K@ 65¢·0xe30e…6b87

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Thiago Seyboth Wild pressure: $78.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$78.5K
6h
−$120.2K
tracked
$163.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Raul Brancaccio · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Since latest liquidity absorption: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 14.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Thiago Seyboth Wild or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-31 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Brancaccio and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Brancaccio' if Raul Brancaccio advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Raul Brancaccio. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild@ 86.0¢37m ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.1pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild54m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Thiago Seyboth Wild@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp
Latest book event: Thiago Seyboth Wild DOWN 2.7pp · near-book depth $5.9K → $157 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Raul Brancaccio; negative values favor Thiago Seyboth Wild. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Seyboth Wild · $78.5K
6hThiago Seyboth Wild · $120.2K
24hThiago Seyboth Wild · $135.4K

Raul Brancaccio price VWAP

Volume-weighted Raul Brancaccio price. Thiago Seyboth Wild fills are converted to the complementary Raul Brancaccio probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h25.4¢▼ below by 25.4pp
VWAP 7d25.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Raul Brancaccio price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$46.0K
35¢
$48.9K
30¢
$54
25¢
$3
20¢
$8.9K
15¢
$4.5K
10¢
$0
5¢
$26.6K
0¢
← now
$28.3K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$20.2K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$25.0K@ 94.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$27.3K@ 57.6¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$30.1K@ 64.5¢0xe30e…6b87🐋—about 1 hour ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe30e…6b87Thiago Seyboth Wild$57.4K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
0b1feThiago Seyboth Wild$25.0K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·1 fill
LhordGryffinThiago Seyboth Wild$20.2K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
johnny234Thiago Seyboth Wild$12.9K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.