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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 Winner

● quote 23s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
99.9¢
KT Rolster
1.0¢
HANJIN BRION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 37 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:416 trades$478.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:KT Rolster · $14.3K net·37 wallets(1🐋)·$107.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKT Rolster$33.4K@ 99¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$531
6h
+$12.2K
tracked
$478.1K

37 verified profitable wallets: KT Rolster · $14.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -54.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-26 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against HANJIN BRION.

•This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 4 against KT Rolster.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between KT Rolster and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Play-In, initially scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win Game 4 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 4 against KT Rolster. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 26, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
vtcchampion526 linked markets · $233.4K gross
1111111111154 linked markets · $132.3K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria4 linked markets · $125.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY HANJIN BRION@ 55.0¢46m ago
15m INVALIDATED -41.0pp
Latest book event: HANJIN BRION DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $16 → $284 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor KT Rolster; negative values favor HANJIN BRION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKT Rolster · $531
6hKT Rolster · $12.2K
24hKT Rolster · $12.2K

KT Rolster price VWAP

Volume-weighted KT Rolster price. HANJIN BRION fills are converted to the complementary KT Rolster probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h74.0¢▲ above by 25.9pp
VWAP 7d74.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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KT Rolster price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$146.6K
90¢
$0
85¢
$27.9K
80¢
$4.3K
75¢
$167
70¢
$24.0K
65¢
$96.5K
60¢
$64.5K
55¢
$31.9K
50¢
$28.8K
45¢
$36.6K
40¢
$4.0K
35¢
$12.7K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKT Rolster$22.3K@ 99.9¢
skadii0x1c29…167e
🐋—15 minutes ago
SELLKT Rolster$11.3K@ 99.9¢
GeorgeRe0x87da…53d1
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$33.4K@ 99.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYKT Rolster$13.4K@ 67.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKT Rolster$10.7K@ 65.1¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In
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LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner
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Games Total: O/U 3.5
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Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
0.1¢$71.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
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Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
0.1¢$787.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?
76.5¢$539.8Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaKT Rolster$33.4K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52HANJIN BRION$18.1K
BUY VWAP 38.3¢·8 fills
zb8KT Rolster$13.4K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eKT Rolster$13.2K
BUY VWAP 66.1¢·6 fills
254321758KT Rolster$12.6K
BUY VWAP 91.3¢·3 fills
Sunshine.SmileKT Rolster$10.7K
BUY VWAP 65.1¢·1 fill
alexdinnerHANJIN BRION$10.0K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.