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LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $320.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $842.0KEvent: LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
20.3¢
JD Gaming
79.7¢
Team WE
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 83%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:275 trades$258.5K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team WE · $57.3K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$70.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJD Gaming$25.3K@ 38¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW JD Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

JD Gaming pressure: $17.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.7K
6h
+$6.3K
tracked
$258.5K

8 verified profitable wallets: Team WE · $57.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 83% · priority 62

Since latest accumulation: -16.5pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from JD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE.

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between JD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xd570…e4f85 linked markets · $318.2K gross
JaJa8884 linked markets · $143.5K gross
0x9e3e…f8825 linked markets · $89.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY JD Gaming@ 37.0¢38m ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Team WE3h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Team WE@ 33.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +17.0pp1h CONFIRMED +25.0pp
Latest book event: JD Gaming DOWN 4.3pp · near-book depth $51 → $63 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor JD Gaming; negative values favor Team WE. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJD Gaming · $17.7K
6hJD Gaming · $6.3K
24hJD Gaming · $3.3K

JD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted JD Gaming price. Team WE fills are converted to the complementary JD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.3¢
VWAP 24h38.9¢▼ below by 18.6pp
VWAP 7d38.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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JD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$58.9K
60¢
$17
55¢
$1.7K
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$15.3K
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$68.4K
30¢
$128
25¢
$16.7K
20¢
← now
$64.8K
15¢
$17.1K
10¢
$2.4K
5¢
$724
0¢
$4.0K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTeam WE$10.1K@ 64.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$15.8K@ 36.0¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYJD Gaming$25.3K@ 38.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYTeam WE$15.4K@ 32.0¢0xd570…e4f8🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
21.0¢$990.2Kpriority41Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$847.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
45.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30?
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x9e3e…f882JD Gaming$58.6K
BUY VWAP 29.2¢·17 fills
0x2c33…0563Team WE$26.9K
BUY VWAP 70.8¢·5 fills
vtcchampion52Team WE$21.4K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·6 fills
sulumosJD Gaming$17.7K
BUY VWAP 36.8¢·2 fills
0xd570…e4f8Team WE$15.4K
BUY VWAP 32.0¢·1 fill
yishiwuchengTeam WE$10.7K
BUY VWAP 76.5¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.