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Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond

● quote 11s ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $111.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $173.6KEvent: Kingston 2: Evan Zhu vs Arthur Reymond
50.5¢
Evan Zhu
49.5¢
Arthur Reymond
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:10 trades$70.2K tracked40% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Reymond$17.6K@ 28¢·0xd8b4…7773

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$29.2K
tracked
$70.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Evan Zhu and Arthur Reymond in the Kingston 2, Jamaica, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Arthur Reymond. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Reymond' if Arthur Reymond advances against Evan Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Reymond@ 50.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arthur Reymond@ 50.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Evan Zhu; negative values favor Arthur Reymond. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEvan Zhu · $0
6hArthur Reymond · $29.2K
24hArthur Reymond · $29.2K

Evan Zhu price VWAP

Volume-weighted Evan Zhu price. Arthur Reymond fills are converted to the complementary Evan Zhu probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current50.5¢
VWAP 24h56.3¢▼ below by 5.8pp
VWAP 7d56.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Evan Zhu price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$17.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$52.6K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEvan Zhu$12.5K@ 50.0¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYEvan Zhu$12.8K@ 51.0¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYArthur Reymond$15.0K@ 49.0¢
novason10x88b5…a041
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYArthur Reymond$17.6K@ 28.0¢0xd8b4…7773🐋—about 6 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xd8b4…7773Arthur Reymond$22.2K
BUY VWAP 30.4¢·2 fills
novason1Arthur Reymond$15.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
ChallengerSpecialistEvan Zhu$12.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.