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Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas

Sports→Settlement: Miguel DamasLiquidity: $712.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $144.6KEvent: Augsburg: Marko Topo vs Miguel Damas
0.0¢
Marko Topo payout
100.0¢
Miguel Damas payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:78 trades$36.0K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 918 min agoofficial metadata 409 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Marko Topo · $1.3K net·3 wallets·$5.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarko Topo$8.3K@ 52¢·Soliter

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Miguel Damas. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-31 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marko Topo and Miguel Damas in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marko Topo' if Marko Topo advances against Miguel Damas. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Damas' if Miguel Damas advances against Marko Topo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Miguel Damas UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $63.0K → $1.5K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Marko Topo; negative values favor Miguel Damas. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarko Topo · $1.8K
6hMarko Topo · $20.6K
24hMarko Topo · $20.6K

Marko Topo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Marko Topo price. Miguel Damas fills are converted to the complementary Marko Topo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h42.4¢▼ below by 42.4pp
VWAP 7d42.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Marko Topo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$7.9K
55¢
$1.5K
50¢
$12.6K
45¢
$2
40¢
$2.7K
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$3.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$160
10¢
$2.6K
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$2.2K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SoliterMarko Topo$11.3K
BUY VWAP 53.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.