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UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $204.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $311.9KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
29.5¢
Modestas Bukauskas payout
70.5¢
Oumar Sy payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Modestas Bukauskas · $1.1K net·5 wallets·$1.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYModestas Bukauskas$20.2K@ 31¢·Sassy-Bucket

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-06 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Modestas Bukauskas" if Modestas Bukauskas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Oumar Sy at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Oumar Sy" if Oumar Sy is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Modestas Bukauskas" if Modestas Bukauskas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Oumar Sy at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, scheduled for September 5, 2026. It will resolve to "Oumar Sy" if Oumar Sy is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 19, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Modestas Bukauskas6d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Modestas Bukauskas@ 9.0¢6d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Modestas Bukauskas; negative values favor Oumar Sy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hModestas Bukauskas · $22.5K
6hModestas Bukauskas · $21.1K
24hModestas Bukauskas · $17.8K

Modestas Bukauskas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Modestas Bukauskas price. Oumar Sy fills are converted to the complementary Modestas Bukauskas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h34.0¢▼ below by 4.5pp
VWAP 7d34.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Modestas Bukauskas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$6.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$224
30¢
$67.8K
25¢
← now
$1.6K
20¢
$2.9K
15¢
$8.8K
10¢
$2
5¢
$270
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYModestas Bukauskas$20.2K@ 31.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—6 days ago
BUYOumar Sy$10.9K@ 70.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketModestas Bukauskas$39.0K
BUY VWAP 30.8¢·3 fills
Talvez10Oumar Sy$10.9K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.