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Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosa

● quote just now
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $169.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.5KEvent: Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosa
94.7¢
YES
5.3¢
NO
0.2¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:22 trades$56.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 53s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$28.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$29.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaya Joint (YES)$29.0K@ 95¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$1
6h
+$55.2K
tracked
$56.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$28.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.2¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.2pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 29 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-29 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Jessica Hinojosa in the Monterrey Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Jessica Hinojosa. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Hinojosa' if Jessica Hinojosa advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Maya Joint@ 94.6¢2h ago
15m STALLED -0.6pp1h STALLED -0.7pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$1
6h+$55.2K
24h+$55.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current94.7¢
VWAP 24h96.4¢▼ below by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d96.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$25.1K
90¢
← now
$31.3K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMaya Joint (YES)$29.0K@ 94.5¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Maya Joint$29.0K
BUY VWAP 94.5¢·1 fill
5551abMaya Joint$25.0K
BUY VWAP 98.7¢·14 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.