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Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $400.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $198.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
45.5¢
Spirit payout
54.5¢
Legacy payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $5.6K net·2 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy$14.5K@ 54¢·CORGI8

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Legacy in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Legacy and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins 2 or more maps than Legacy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $129.5K gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $81.0K gross
0x0063…2dd22 linked markets · $72.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor Legacy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLegacy · $1.4K
6hLegacy · $1.3K
24hSpirit · $1.7K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. Legacy fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h47.9¢▼ below by 2.4pp
VWAP 7d47.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.4K
90¢
$32
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$78
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$6.5K
45¢
← now
$67.0K
40¢
$127
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLegacy$14.5K@ 54.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

CORGI8Legacy$14.5K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
cskingoringoSpirit$10.7K
BUY VWAP 47.4¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.