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Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $349.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $798.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fils
29.5¢
Flavio Cobolli payout
70.5¢
Arthur Fils payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fils · $36.6K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$66.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLArthur Fils$16.0K@ 100¢·ChallengerSpecialist

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-29 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Arthur Fils in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Flavio Cobolli; negative values favor Arthur Fils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlavio Cobolli · $11.5K
6hArthur Fils · $1.2K
24hArthur Fils · $14.3K

Flavio Cobolli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Flavio Cobolli price. Arthur Fils fills are converted to the complementary Flavio Cobolli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current29.5¢
VWAP 24h21.5¢▲ above by 8.0pp
VWAP 7d21.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Flavio Cobolli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$7.3K
40¢
$213
35¢
$11.0K
30¢
$68.8K
25¢
← now
$77.8K
20¢
$0
15¢
$21.6K
10¢
$5.9K
5¢
$31.7K
0¢
$44.0K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Fils$16.0K@ 99.9¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—1 day ago
SELLArthur Fils$11.3K@ 99.9¢
BrevanHoward0x0a26…1851
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 30.0¢0x5f65…2036🐋—1 day ago
BUYArthur Fils$11.4K@ 71.0¢
ChallengerSpecialist0x5ba6…0f07
🐋—1 day ago
BUYArthur Fils$12.3K@ 71.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—1 day ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Flavio Cobolli$24.0K
BUY VWAP 29.0¢·4 fills
ferrariChampions2026Arthur Fils$18.6K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·2 fills
hamloArthur Fils$16.4K
BUY VWAP 93.4¢·2 fills
one8tyfiveArthur Fils$16.4K
BUY VWAP 79.1¢·4 fills
swisstonyArthur Fils$14.4K
BUY VWAP 75.9¢·8 fills
ChallengerSpecialistArthur Fils$11.4K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·1 fill
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6Flavio Cobolli$10.2K
BUY VWAP 30.9¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.