PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.2MEvent: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:548 trades$711.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 27 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $33.0K·4 wallets·$44.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$30.0K@ 60¢·0xe16d…5e30

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 20:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe16d…5e303 linked markets · $114.0K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $45.0K gross
Skyfker2 linked markets · $39.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Team Yandex@ 82.0¢53m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Team Yandex@ 61.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $11.7K → $3.4K · 1s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$109.8K
6h+$267.3K
24h+$267.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h49.6¢▼ below by 49.6pp
VWAP 7d49.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$21.2K
90¢
$14.3K
85¢
$51.6K
80¢
$59.3K
75¢
$39.0K
70¢
$2.9K
65¢
$11.1K
60¢
$87.0K
55¢
$118.2K
50¢
$48.9K
45¢
$29.4K
40¢
$17.7K
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$23.6K
20¢
$23.5K
15¢
$18.8K
10¢
$4.0K
5¢
$13.1K
0¢
← now
$120.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLNigma Galaxy (NO)$10.2K@ 99.9¢0xb7e2…826c🐋—34 minutes ago
SELLNigma Galaxy (NO)$21.7K@ 99.9¢
Skyfker0x57b4…b46b
🐋—35 minutes ago
SELLNigma Galaxy (NO)$10.9K@ 99.9¢0xe760…f2f9🐋—41 minutes ago
SELLNigma Galaxy (NO)$16.2K@ 99.9¢
iii2520xed44…4f76
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$19.0K@ 88.9¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$10.0K@ 96.5¢0x6111…4742🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$18.7K@ 56.0¢0x8c0b…7aa5🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Yandex (YES)$30.0K@ 60.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
46.5¢$3.1Mpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
71.5¢$825.0Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
55.5¢$1.0Mpriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$624.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$498.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$446.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$420.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
81.5¢$365.2Kpriority43Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30Team Yandex$48.0K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·5 fills
0x8c0b…7aa5Team Yandex$25.9K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·4 fills
0x19fb…bd68Nigma Galaxy$22.9K
BUY VWAP 76.3¢·15 fills
0x2c33…0563Nigma Galaxy$22.7K
BUY VWAP 37.3¢·9 fills
bloodmasterTeam Yandex$20.6K
BUY VWAP 89.4¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eNigma Galaxy$13.0K
BUY VWAP 34.2¢·11 fills
densmyloveTeam Yandex$12.7K
BUY VWAP 69.6¢·4 fills
vtcchampion52Team Yandex$11.5K
BUY VWAP 83.9¢·4 fills
0x6111…4742Team Yandex$10.0K
BUY VWAP 96.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.