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Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: NOLiquidity: $501.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $275.7KEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
0.0¢
YES payout
100.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:44 trades$95.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $16.1K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$16.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons (YES)$18.6K@ 46¢·acorp

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome NO. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more maps than Legacy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Legacy". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $385.7K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $214.8K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $156.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 46.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: NO DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $28.5K → $26 · 23s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$7.1K
6h+$12.0K
24h+$35.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.2¢▼ below by 37.2pp
VWAP 7d37.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.1K
45¢
$28.0K
40¢
$45.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$291
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.3K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLegacy (NO)$13.0K@ 56.3¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (YES)$18.6K@ 46.0¢
acorp0x99e4…e4c4
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

acorpTeam Falcons$18.6K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
0xee0b…e6d4Team Falcons$14.7K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·3 fills
0xf559…f462Legacy$13.0K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.