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Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: YESLiquidity: $2.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.2MEvent: Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:376 trades$820.9K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$116.0K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$153.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLegacy (YES)$97.1K@ 27¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 20:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Legacy and Team Falcons in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05634 linked markets · $385.7K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $214.8K gross
0x6e2c…787c3 linked markets · $156.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Team Falcons@ 1.0¢21m ago
Outcome checks pending
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Legacy@ 48.0¢51m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Legacy@ 46.0¢51m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Team Falcons@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $21.3K → $2.0K · 2s

Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$4.5K
6h−$100.9K
24h−$98.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h41.5¢▲ above by 58.5pp
VWAP 7d41.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$44.9K
90¢
$2.4K
85¢
$11.2K
80¢
$8.5K
75¢
$3.8K
70¢
$5.9K
65¢
$18.6K
60¢
$4.0K
55¢
$23.1K
50¢
$197.9K
45¢
$18.6K
40¢
$4.2K
35¢
$44.9K
30¢
$15.5K
25¢
$366.6K
20¢
$50.9K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLLegacy (YES)$10.7K@ 99.9¢
spiced0xfdc8…c678
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$10.0K@ 65.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$16.1K@ 50.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$14.5K@ 51.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$20.0K@ 50.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$10.2K@ 51.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$12.8K@ 51.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLTeam Falcons (NO)$12.0K@ 61.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLTeam Falcons (NO)$12.2K@ 61.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLTeam Falcons (NO)$12.6K@ 61.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$20.0K@ 75.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$21.2K@ 76.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$25.0K@ 75.8¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$10.1K@ 29.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$97.1K@ 27.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$17.7K@ 74.0¢
fedg22220x5c84…8d22
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$51.3K@ 74.0¢0x9368…80a3🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$11.4K@ 74.0¢0xe915…3d7f🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$18.6K@ 27.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYTeam Falcons (NO)$14.8K@ 74.0¢0x7819…bdb0🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLegacy (YES)$24.4K@ 26.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Legacy$124.8K
BUY VWAP 29.3¢·5 fills
0x1610…ae49Team Falcons$89.6K
BUY VWAP 67.6¢·8 fills
0x9368…80a3Team Falcons$51.3K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
sbsignerTeam Falcons$33.3K
BUY VWAP 56.4¢·7 fills
0x6e2c…787cLegacy$27.4K
BUY VWAP 58.3¢·17 fills
111111111115Legacy$24.4K
BUY VWAP 26.0¢·1 fill
CORGI8Legacy$22.4K
BUY VWAP 29.3¢·2 fills
AV23IUaTeam Falcons$20.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
fedg2222Team Falcons$17.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Team Falcons$16.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.