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Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna

UncategorizedSettlement: Tommaso CompagnucciLiquidity: $309.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $337.6KEvent: Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Serna
100.0¢
Tommaso Compagnucci payout
0.0¢
Juan Manuel La Serna payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tommaso Compagnucci · $1.6K net·4 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$14.0K@ 49¢·0x5f65…2036

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tommaso Compagnucci. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-27 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Sion, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Tommaso Compagnucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tommaso Compagnucci; negative values favor Juan Manuel La Serna. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJuan Manuel La Serna · $17.6K
6hJuan Manuel La Serna · $31.6K
24hJuan Manuel La Serna · $31.6K

Tommaso Compagnucci price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tommaso Compagnucci price. Juan Manuel La Serna fills are converted to the complementary Tommaso Compagnucci probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h70.0¢▲ above by 30.0pp
VWAP 7d70.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tommaso Compagnucci price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$6.7K
75¢
$886
70¢
$15.3K
65¢
$245
60¢
$5.0K
55¢
$13.9K
50¢
$28.3K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$8
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$6
10¢
$1
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTommaso Compagnucci$11.6K@ 99.9¢
RDXR0xc293…fac3
🐋—4 days ago
BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$10.0K@ 30.0¢
kamloic0x5901…63a2
🐋—4 days ago
BUYJuan Manuel La Serna$14.0K@ 49.5¢0x5f65…2036🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Juan Manuel La Serna$19.0K
BUY VWAP 45.8¢·2 fills
kamloicJuan Manuel La Serna$10.0K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.