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Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka

UncategorizedSettlement: Roman SafiullinLiquidity: $258.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $115.0KEvent: Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinka
100.0¢
Roman Safiullin payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Roman Safiullin · $4.8K net·2 wallets·$4.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRoman Safiullin$9.7K@ 69¢·ChallengerSpecialist

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Roman Safiullin. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-27 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Stan Wawrinka in the Cancun, originally scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Roman Safiullin; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNO · $3.8K
6hRoman Safiullin · $23.1K
24hRoman Safiullin · $23.1K

Roman Safiullin price VWAP

Volume-weighted Roman Safiullin price. NO fills are converted to the complementary Roman Safiullin probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h78.4¢▲ above by 21.6pp
VWAP 7d78.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Roman Safiullin price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$2.3K
65¢
$20.7K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ChallengerSpecialistRoman Safiullin$11.3K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.