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Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell

UncategorizedSettlement: Taylor FritzLiquidity: $388.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $502.4KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell
100.0¢
Taylor Fritz payout
0.0¢
Christopher OConnell payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Taylor Fritz · $44.8K net·7 wallets·$47.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChristopher OConnell$13.1K@ 13¢·beachboy4

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Taylor Fritz. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Christopher O'Connell in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Christopher O'Connell. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Christopher OConnell@ 13.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -12.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Christopher OConnell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChristopher OConnell · $2.9K
6hTaylor Fritz · $38.4K
24hTaylor Fritz · $52.5K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Christopher OConnell fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h90.6¢▲ above by 9.4pp
VWAP 7d90.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$37.5K
90¢
$9.8K
85¢
$108.0K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTaylor Fritz$11.8K@ 99.9¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—4 days ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$10.0K@ 85.0¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—4 days ago
BUYChristopher OConnell$11.7K@ 13.8¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—4 days ago
BUYChristopher OConnell$13.1K@ 12.7¢
beachboy40xc2e7…be51
🐋—4 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

beachboy4Christopher OConnell$24.7K
BUY VWAP 13.2¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardTaylor Fritz$21.6K
BUY VWAP 89.1¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cTaylor Fritz$10.5K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·2 fills
afrazTaylor Fritz$10.0K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.