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Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang

UncategorizedSettlement: Madison KeysLiquidity: $327.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $288.3KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang
100.0¢
Madison Keys payout
0.0¢
Xiyu Wang payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Madison Keys · $12.8K net·5 wallets·$22.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMadison Keys$26.0K@ 100¢·thatsabing0

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Madison Keys. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-26 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Madison Keys and Xiyu Wang in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Xiyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xiyu Wang' if Xiyu Wang advances against Madison Keys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Madison Keys; negative values favor Xiyu Wang. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMadison Keys · $40.7K
6hMadison Keys · $53.4K
24hMadison Keys · $54.4K

Madison Keys price VWAP

Volume-weighted Madison Keys price. Xiyu Wang fills are converted to the complementary Madison Keys probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.0¢▲ above by 13.0pp
VWAP 7d87.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Madison Keys price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$73.2K
90¢
$7.8K
85¢
$18.2K
80¢
$3
75¢
$17.2K
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
$5.3K
60¢
$11.2K
55¢
$9.1K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMadison Keys$12.2K@ 99.9¢
alaskabaked0xaa77…15a5
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$26.0K@ 99.7¢
thatsabing00xaa3c…5607
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMadison Keys$17.0K@ 97.0¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—5 days ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

thatsabing0Madison Keys$26.0K
BUY VWAP 99.7¢·1 fill
hd777Madison Keys$17.0K
BUY VWAP 97.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.